Bundesliga Matchday 9 Predictions

As Bundesliga Matchday 9 approaches, fans and analysts alike are eager to see how Germany’s top teams will perform after several surprising results in recent rounds. With heated rivalries and close standings, every game brings high stakes for teams aiming to rise in the ranks. From powerhouse clubs like Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund to promising underdogs, this weekend’s fixtures are expected to deliver thrilling moments. Here’s a look at what to expect in each match as the race to the top intensifies.

Bundesliga latest standings 2024-2025

Leverkusen VS VfB Stuttgart

• Win Probability: Leverkusen 62%, VfB Stuttgart 20%, Draw 18%
• Predicted Score: Leverkusen 2-1 VfB Stuttgart
• TIP: Leverkusen’s strong form gives them the edge, but Stuttgart could still find the net given their recent performances.

Pre-Match Insights:

• VfB Stuttgart have won just one of their last 27 competitive meetingswith Bayer 04 Leverkusen (D8, L18), a 1-0 Bundesliga away win in Apri2018.Leverkusen are currently unbeaten in their last 13 games againstVfB in all competitions (W8, D5)-a 14th game without defeat would bea first in this fixture. This is the fourth straight clash between the sidesthat has taken place in Leverkusen (2x BL, 1x DFB-Pokal. 1x DFL-Supercup).
• VfB Stuttgart have led in each of their five competitive games againstBayer 04 Leverkusen under Sebastian HoeneB, but they haven’t wonany of them. The last three meetings have seen Leverkusen score afterthe 88-minute mark (1x to win. 1x to draw and 1x to reach penalties inthe DFL-Supercup)
• Bayer 04 Leverkusen have lost just one of their last 42 Bundesligagames (W32, D9), a 3-2 defeat to RB Leipzig on matchday 2 thisseason.Leverkusen have picked up the most points in the league by farsince the start of last term (105), followed by FC Bayern (92) and VfBStuttgart (85, same as RB Leipzig)
• Bayer 04 Leverkusen are the third defending champions after FCBayern München in 1981/82 and 1. FC Kaiserslautern in 1998/99 to stillhave no clean sheets after eight Bundesliga matchdays.HoweverLeverkusen have recorded more top-flight shutouts against fBStuttgart than versus any other side (28).
• Bayer 04 Leverkusen have dropped nine points from winning positionsin the Bundesliga this season, with only Wolfsburg worse off (11). They!are the only team to have led in all eight of their league games this term(W4,D3, L1).Leverkusen didn’t squander a single point after taking thelead last season

Holstein Kiel VS Heidenheim

• Win Probability: Holstein Kiel 35%, Heidenheim 38%, Draw 27%
• Predicted Score: Holstein Kiel 1-1 Heidenheim
• TIP: This close matchup might result in a draw, with both teams having comparable win probabilities.

Pre-Match Insights:

• Holstein Kiel are the 58th Bundesliga debutants, while 1.FCHeidenheim became the 57th last season. The Storks have lost just onetheir last six competitive home games against FCH (all BL2), a 1-0defeat in February 2020 (W2, D3). The last meeting between the sidesin Kiel in October 2022 finished in a 3-1 win for the hosts
• With just two points from their first eight games, Holstein Kiel havemade the worst start of any Bundesliga newcomer (excl. the inaugural1963/64 season). The Storks are also the first team to concede at leasttwo goals in each of the first eight matches in their top-flight history (alsoexcl. 1963164).
• After back-to-back defeats, 1.FC Heidenheim picked up a point in their0-0 draw with Hoffenheim last time out, but they are still winless in threeBundesliga games for the first time since February/March (6 games).FCH have won all three of their previous top-flight meetings withpromoted sides and could now become the third team after FC Bayernand RB Leipzig to win each of their first four (no side has ever managed
• Holstein Kiel have lost each of the first four Bundesliga home games intheir history, something that has only happened once before to adebutant excluding the inaugural 1963/64 season: SpVgg GreutherFürth in 2012/13. Only one side has ever been beaten in each of theirfirst five home matches of a Bundesliga campaign: Hansa Rostock in2004/05 (lost their first 8)
• With 23 goals conceded, Holstein Kiel have the league’s worst defencethis season-the last promoted side to have shipped as manyBundesliga goals at this stage was Blau-Weil 90 Berlin in 1986/87 (also23).1.FC Heidenheim have let in 11 goals after eight games, reducingtheir tally by almost half compared to last term (20)- only Leipzig (3),Union (5) and FC Bayern (7)have conceded fewer top-flight goals thisseason.

Bayern VS Union Berlin

• Win Probability: Bayern 82%, Union Berlin 6%, Draw 12%
• Predicted Score: Bayern 3-0 Union Berlin
• TIP: Bayern’s dominant form, especially at home, suggests a clear victory over Union Berlin.

Pre-Match Insights:

• FC Bayern Munchen haven’t lost any of their 10 Bundesliga meetingswith 1.FC Union Berlin (w7, D3)- the only other side Bayern havefaced as often in the top flight without ever losing is SV Darmstadt.Meanwhile, FCB are the only team that Union have played more thantwice in the Bundesliga without ever winning
• Vincent Kompany has collected 20 points in his first eight Bundesligagames as FC Bayern München head coach, the best return since CarloAncelotti in 2016.Only two coaches have ever had a better points haulafter eight matchdays in the Bayern dugout: Otto Rehhagel in 1995 (21)and Ottmar Hitzfeld in 1998 (22). No coach in top-flight history has seenhis side score as many goals in their first eight games as Kompany (29)
• Union Berlin have picked up 15 points after eight Bundesliga gamesthey have only ever been better off in 2022123 (17).The Kopenickeralready have more points on the board than they did in the entire firsthalf of last season (14).
  With just five goals conceded, 1.FC Union Berlin have the second bestdefence in the league behind only RB Leipzig (3).FC Bayern Münchenare third best having let in seven goals. The Munich side have allowedthe fewest shots on target however (15), followed in second by Union(26)
• FC Bayern München have the best attack in the league this seasonhaving netted 29 goals, while Union’s tally of nine goals gives them thethird worst after FC St. Pauli (5) and VfL Bochum (7). 29 goals scoredafter eight games equals the Bundesliga record set by FCB themselvesin 2021122 and 1976177
• FC Bayern München have the best attack in the league this season,having netted 29 goals, while Union’s tally of nine goals gives them thethird worst after FC St. Pauli (5) and VfL Bochum (7).29 goals scoredafter eight games equals the Bundesliga record set by FCB themselvesin 2021122 and 1976177

Dortmund VS RB Leipzig

• Win Probability: Dortmund 43%, RB Leipzig 32%, Draw 25%
• Predicted Score: Dortmund 2-2 RB Leipzig
• TIP: Both teams are strong offensively, so a high-scoring draw is a likely outcome.

Pre-Match Insights:

• Borussia Dortmund have lost six of their last seven competitive gamesagainst RB Leipzig, with their only win in that timeframe coming at homein the Bundesliga in 2022/23 (2-1).BVB had previously gone on aneight-match unbeaten run against RBL in all competitions (V6, D2)
• This will be the 10th Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund andRB Leipzig on a Saturday evening- the last three have all ended invictory for RBL, who have won five of them in total (D1, L3). Leipzig’slast top-flight defeat came during this primetime slot in an away matchlosing 2-1 at FC Bayern in late February
• With 13 points after eight games, this is Borussia Dortmund’s worst starto a Bundesliga season in 10 years, having had just seven points at thisstage in 2014/15.BVB’s tally of 14 goals conceded after eightmatchdays has only been worse this century in 2007/08(16)
• RB Leipzig have collected 20 points from their opening eight Bundesligagames, setting a new club record. Their run of 19 top-flight matcheswithout defeat (W13, D6) is also a historic best for RBL, as well as thelongest ongoing unbeaten streak in the league. They have now won fourBundesliga games in a row, a run they have only bettered once beforeunder Marco Rose (5 games in April/MMay 2023)
• Borussia Dortmund have won each of their last eight home games in allcompetitions, their longest run since between November 2022 and May2023 (11). BVB are the only team yet to drop a point at home in theBundesliga this season (4 home wins) and have collected 12 of their 13points in Dortmund-the discrepancy between home and away pointsisn’t as big for any other team in the league.

Mönchengladbach VS Werder

• Win Probability: Mönchengladbach 46%, Werder 30%, Draw 24%
• Predicted Score: Mönchengladbach 2-1 Werder
• TIP: Mönchengladbach has the advantage but may concede, making for a closely contested game.

Pre-Match Insights:

• SV Werder Bremen have won just one of their last 15 Bundesligagames against Borussia Mönchengladbach (D6, L8). However, Werderhaven’t lost any of their four Bundesliga games against the Foals sincebeing promoted back to the top flight (W1,D3)-it’s their longestunbeaten run against Gladbach in the division since going five gameswithout defeat from October 1997 to September 2001
• Borussia Monchengladbach have more Bundesliga home wins againstSV Werder Bremen than against any other side (31). Since a 4-1 defeatin October 2010, the Foals are unbeaten in each of their last 12 top.flight home matches against SVW (W7, D5)-it’s their longest runagainst any side currently playing in the division.
• SV Werder Bremen currently have 12 points after eight Bundesligagames, twice as many as at this stage last season. 10 of these pointshave come on their travels, equalling a club record after the first fouraway games of a top-flight campaign (also in 1994/95, 1993/94 and1987188 using 3 points per win). Svw could now record fourconsecutive away wins for the first time in their top-flight history
• Borussia Monchengladbach have won each of their last two Bundesligahome games, as many wins as in their previous 12 matches atBorussia-Park combined (W2, D5, L5).They have only recorded moreconsecutive home wins under Gerardo Seoane once before (3 fromOctober to December 2023)
• SV Werder Bremen found themselves trailing twice against Bayer 04Leverkusen, managing to equalise both times. Svw have claimed eightpoints from losing positions in the Bundesliga this season -a leaguehigh and already as many points as they picked up from games in whichthey trailed across the whole of 2023124

Eintracht Frankfurt VS VfL Bochum

• Win Probability: Eintracht Frankfurt 73%, VfL Bochum 12%, Draw 15%
• Predicted Score: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 VfL Bochum
• TIP: Frankfurt’s form suggests a comfortable win without conceding against Bochum.

Pre-Match Insights:

• Eintracht Frankfurt are without a win in their last four meetings with VflBochum (D3, L1, all BL)- the last three clashes have ended 1-1. Of thecurrent top-flight sides, Frankfurt have only been waiting longer for aBundesliga win against Borussia Dortmund (7 games) than versusBochum (4,same as against Leverkusen).
• Only VfL Wolfsburg (39%) have had less possession than EintrachtFrankfurt and Vfl Bochum in the Bundesliga this season (both 41%)Bochum also have the worst pass accuracy in the league (74%), as wellas the fewest 10+ pass sequences (34).
• While Eintracht Frankfurt have allowed the most opposition shots in theBundesliga this season (148, an average of 18.5 per game), VfLBochum have the league’s highest Expected Goals Against value(20.5). VfL haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last 24 Bundesligamatches, and will equal a negative club record if they fail to stopFrankfurt from scoring (set between 2002 and 2003)
• With just one point from eight games, VfL Bochum have had joint worststart to a Bundesliga season, equalling VfL themselves in 2022/23.Furth in 2021122,Paderborn in 2019120, Koln in 2017118 andSaarbrücken in 1963/64.0fthese sides, only Bochum avoidedrelegation at the end of the campaign.
• VfL Bochum are winless after eight Bundesliga matchdays for the thirdseason in a row, a first for any side in top-flight history. Their maidenvictory came on matchday 9 in 2022/23, a 3-0 home win over upcomingopponents Eintracht Frankfurt.

Wolfsburg VS Augsburg

• Win Probability: Wolfsburg 48%, Augsburg 27%, Draw 25%
• Predicted Score: Wolfsburg 1-0 Augsburg
• TIP: With Wolfsburg slightly favored, a narrow home victory seems likely.

Pre-Match Insights:

• VfL Wolfsburg were one of just two teams alongside 1.FC Heidenheimthat FC Augsburg won both league fixtures against last season. FCAhaven’t lost any of their last five Bundesliga meetings with the Wolves(W3, D2)-of the current top-flight sides, they’re only on a longerunbeaten run against Union Berlin (8 games).
• Vfl Wolfsburg have won just three of their 13 Bundesliga home gamesagainst FC Augsburg (D6, L4). Of the sides they have faced at leastthree times at home in the top flight, their win percentage is only worseagainst FC Bayern (14%) than it is versus FCA (23%).
• VfL Wolfsburg haven’t won any of their last five Bundesliga homegames, picking up just one of a possible 15 points during that run – it’stheir longest wait for a home victory under Ralph Hasenhuttl. TheWolves’ record of one point after four home games is a joint worst forthe club in the top flight (also 1 in 2012/13).
• FCAugsburg have lost each of their last seven Bundesliga awaygames, a new negative club record. No other current Bundesliga sidehas been waiting as long for a point on the road as FCA, who last got aresult away from home in mid-March when they won 3-1 in Wolfsburg
• VfL Wolfsburg have already conceded seven goals from set pieces inthe Bundesliga this season, a joint league high together with HolsteinKiel. Opponents FC Augsburg are right behind them though, having letin six goals from dead balls.

Hoffenheim VS FC St. Pauli

• Win Probability: Hoffenheim 52%, FC St. Pauli 24%, Draw 24%
• Predicted Score: Hoffenheim 2-1 FC St. Pauli
• TIP: Hoffenheim’s edge at home should see them through, but St. Pauli may still score.

Pre-Match Insights:

• Both ofTSG Hoffenheim’s home games against FC St. Pauli haveended in draws.1-1 in the second division in 2007108 and 2-2 in theBundesliga in 2010/11.The two sides teams have each won inHamburg, meaning their head-to-head record is even after fourcompetitive meetings (both W1, D2, L1).TSG are still unbeaten againstSt. Pauli in the top flight (w1, D1).
• TSG Hoffenheim have won just one of their last seven Bundesligamatches (D2, L4), a 3-1 victory over Bochum in their last home game.Hoffenheim’s current tally of eight points after eight matchdays has onlybeen worse in the top flight in 2015/16 (6).However, TSG are unbeatenin three games (W1, D2) after previously suffering four straight defeats
• With five points after eight games, this is FC St. Pauli’s joint secondworst start to a Bundesliga season (same as 1996/97)-they’ve onlyhad fewer points at this stage in 2001/02 (3).However, the Kiezkicker’sonly win (3-0 in Freiburg) and all five of their goals this season havecome in away games.
• After scoring at least once in 15 consecutive Bundesliga games, TSGHoffenheim drew a blank for the first time since mid-March in their 0-0draw at Heidenheim, although they did also keep their first clean sheetof the league campaign. Hoffenheim haven’t had a shutout in any oftheir last 24 Bundesliga home matches (most recently in April 2023 in a2-0 win over Schalke)- an ongoing negative club record and the fourthworst run in top-flight history.
• FC St. Pauli failed to score in a Bundesliga game for the fifth time thisseason in their 0-0 draw with VfL Wolfsburg last time out- a leaguehigh. The promoted side’s tally of five goals is the worst return in thedivision, and they have never had fewer goals to their name at thisstage of a top-flight campaign

SC Freiburg VS Mainz

• Win Probability: SC Freiburg 56%, Mainz 20%, Draw 24%
• Predicted Score: SC Freiburg 1-0 Mainz
• TIP: Freiburg’s advantage at home suggests a tight win, with defense likely holding strong against Mainz.

Pre-Match Insights:

• SC Freiburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are set to meet for the 49th timeacross all competitions and the 31st time in the Bundesliga. sC arecurrently unbeaten in each of the last six Bundesliga clashes betweenthe sides (W2, D4), the longest unbeaten run for either team in thismatch-up in the top flight.
• SC Freiburg have won three of their four Bundesliga home games undelhead coach Julian Schuster (L1), more than they managed across theirlast 13 games on home soil under Christian Streich combined (W2, D7L4)
• FSV Mainz 05 have picked up seven of their nine points this seasonon their travels, while they are unbeaten in their last seven Bundesligaaway games (W3, D4)- an eighth match without defeat on the roadwould see them equal their club record set in 2021. FSV could also gounbeaten across their first four away games of a Bundesliga campaignfor the first time since 2014/15, which would equal another club record
• FSV Mainz 05 have scored a minimum of three goals in each of theirlast four Bundesliga away games -an ongoing club record. Scoring atleast three times in five consecutive away games would equal theleague record, which only FC Bayern have previously managed(2019120 and curently in 2024125).
• Mainz 05 are winless in each of their last 13 Bundesliga games on aSunday, picking up just seven of a possible 39 points in the process(D7, L6). Their last win on a Sunday in the top flight came in February2023 under Bo Svensson, when they beat Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3-2 away.

Conclusion

Matchday 9 in the Bundesliga promises excitement, fierce competition, and potential upsets that could shift the league standings. As teams battle it out on the pitch, fans can look forward to memorable plays and breakthrough performances that may define the season. Whether you’re cheering for the favorites or hoping for an underdog win, this weekend’s matchups have something for everyone. Stay tuned as Bundesliga’s best show what they’ve got in this crucial phase of the season.