World Cup Qualifiers CONMEBOL Matchday 11 Predictions

South America’s top teams are battling for a coveted spot in the 2026 World Cup, bringing intense competition to the field. As we approach the halfway mark, familiar powerhouses like Brazil and Argentina seek to maintain dominance, while underdogs fight to keep their qualifying dreams alive. Let’s dive into key predictions for Matchday 11, analyzing the top contenders, recent form, and potential upsets on the horizon.

Ecuador VS Bolivia

Based on recent form and statistics, Ecuador is positioned as the favorite to win their upcoming World Cup Qualifier match against Bolivia, with a win probability of 47%. Currently, the odds favor Ecuador at 1.18 for a win, with a draw at 8.3, and a Bolivia victory trailing at 17. Here’s a deeper look at the factors and a final score prediction.

Ecuador’s Recent Form

Ecuador’s performance in recent matches has been steady but unspectacular. In their most recent fixture, a 0-0 draw with Uruguay, they managed 44% possession and took 8 shots, with 4 on target. While they showed defensive stability, their offense hasn’t been particularly prolific. Over their last six games, Ecuador’s matches have only seen a total of four goals combined, averaging just 0.67 goals per game. This low-scoring trend speaks to a conservative approach, often relying on defensive solidity rather than an aggressive attack.

Bolivia’s Recent Struggles

Bolivia, on the other hand, has struggled both in scoring and in maintaining control of matches. In their last World Cup qualifier, they were comprehensively defeated 5-0 by Argentina. Bolivia held only 28% possession, managed just 4 shots with only one on target, while Argentina took 14 shots and had 10 on target. This highlights Bolivia’s defensive vulnerabilities and lack of offensive production when up against higher-ranked teams. Historically, Bolivia’s games have been high-scoring affairs, with an average of 3.83 goals per game over their last six fixtures, though a majority of these have gone against them.

Predicted Outcome

Given the contrasting styles of Ecuador’s disciplined defense and Bolivia’s struggling backline, Ecuador is likely to control much of the game, even if it is not expected to be a high-scoring affair. Bolivia’s defense is prone to conceding, especially when up against technically sound teams like Ecuador. However, Ecuador’s conservative attacking approach may limit the scoreline.

Predicted Score: Ecuador 2-0 Bolivia

Peru VS Chile

• Win Probability:Peru 41.4%,Chile32.6%, Draw 26%
• Score Prediction: Peru 1-0 Chile
• Game time: Sat, Nov 16 9:30 AM

Reasons for the Prediction:

• Home Advantage for Peru: Peru has historically performed better at home in World Cup qualifiers, particularly in high-altitude stadiums, where the team can leverage familiar conditions to challenge opponents. The home advantage could play a significant role in tilting the odds slightly in Peru’s favor.
• Defensive Emphasis: Both teams have been struggling with offensive consistency, which may lead to a low-scoring game. Peru, especially, has emphasized a more defensive style, seeking to maintain structure and rely on counter-attacks rather than all-out attack. Chile, on the other hand, also tends to focus on defending tightly against stronger opponents, so we may see limited goal-scoring opportunities.
• Peru’s Slightly Higher Win Probability: With a win probability of 41.4% for Peru and 32.6% for Chile, it’s apparent that bookmakers slightly favor Peru, likely due to their performance trends at home. This narrow edge in probability reflects a close match, with Peru having a better chance to secure a goal. A slim victory margin such as 1-0 seems probable in such scenarios.
• Chile’s Recent Form and Squad Gaps: Chile has shown inconsistency in recent international games and may be missing key players due to injuries, which can weaken their defense and affect their midfield’s control. Peru may capitalize on these gaps, especially with a well-timed set-piece or counter-attack.

Paraguay VS Argentina

• Win Probability:Paraguay 41%,Argentina18%, Draw 41%
• Score Prediction: Paraguay 0-1 Argentina
• Game time: Fri, Nov 15 7:30 AM

Pre-Match Insight:

• Paraguay has surged into the top six of the South American World Cup qualifiers with an impressive four-match unbeaten streak. Their recent form includes two wins and two draws, both victories coming at home in Asunción—one of which was a notable 1-0 win over Brazil in September.
• Under Argentine head coach Gustavo Alfaro, Paraguay has proven to be a tough team to defeat. Over the first 10 qualifying rounds, they’ve maintained a balanced goal difference of 4-4, highlighting their disciplined playing style.
• Paraguay aims to capitalize on this momentum with another victory on Thursday night. In the 11th round, they will host world champions Argentina at the Defensores del Chaco Stadium in Asunción.
• Argentina currently tops the standings with a 3-point lead. Their last match saw them thrash Bolivia 6-0, thanks to a hat-trick from Messi.
• However, Argentina’s recent away form has been less impressive. They managed only a single point from their last two away qualifying matches against Colombia and Venezuela.
• Paraguay, meanwhile, has lost just once in their last five home qualifiers and has been in excellent form over their past four rounds, earning two wins and a draw.
• Since the start of the qualifiers, Paraguay has conceded only four goals. Therefore, betting on a total goal of under 1.5 at 2.50 odds looks like a solid choice.
• The odds for Paraguay to avoid defeat on Thursday are set at 2.05, while a draw stands at 7.00.

Uruguay VS Colombia

• Win Probability:Uruguay 37.0%,Colombia 35.7%, Draw 33.3%
• Score Prediction: Uruguay 1-1 Colombia
• Game time: Sat, Nov 16 8:00 AM
• Venue: Estadio Centenario, Montevideo, Uruguay

Team Form and Key Insights

Uruguay

Uruguay’s recent form has shown resilience, marked by a promising mix of experienced players and fresh talent under coach Marcelo Bielsa. Known for their defensive grit and aggressive pressing, Uruguay will likely rely on strong performances from their backline, led by stalwart defenders like Ronald Araújo, alongside emerging talents such as Facundo Torres in the midfield. Uruguay’s attack has evolved, but their strength traditionally lies in their physical play and defensive solidity, which will be critical in countering Colombia’s fluid style.

Key Players to Watch:

• Federico Valverde (Midfield): A versatile playmaker with excellent vision and long-range shooting, Valverde will be key to Uruguay’s control of the midfield.
• Darwin Núñez (Forward): Núñez’s athleticism and ability to capitalize on chances in the box make him a threat to Colombia’s defense.
• Ronald Araújo (Defense): A disciplined defender capable of neutralizing Colombian attackers, Araújo’s presence will be essential for Uruguay’s defensive strategy.

Colombia

Colombia, under coach Néstor Lorenzo, has brought a well-balanced squad featuring an effective blend of youth and experience. Known for their attacking flair, Colombia will seek to exploit Uruguay’s defensive line with quick transitions and technical play from midfield to the final third. Colombia’s strengths lie in their ball control and creativity on the wings, making players like Luis Díaz and James Rodríguez critical to breaking down Uruguay’s defense.

Key Players to Watch:

• Luis Díaz (Forward): A dynamic winger with speed and dribbling skills, Díaz will look to stretch Uruguay’s defense and create scoring opportunities.
• James Rodríguez (Midfield): Known for his technical ability and playmaking vision, James will play a crucial role in orchestrating Colombia’s attack and unlocking Uruguay’s defense.
• Davinson Sánchez (Defense): Colombia’s backline anchor, Sánchez will need to maintain composure against Uruguay’s physical and direct style.

World Cup Qualifiers CONMEBOL STANDINGS

Closing:

Each game could mean a make-or-break moment for South American nations vying for their place on the global stage. With more thrilling matchups to come, fans can expect this qualifying journey to bring even more surprises, unforgettable performances, and relentless competition until the very end.