Bundesliga Matchday 10 Predictions

Matchday 10 in the Bundesliga is shaping up to be a pivotal moment in the season, with key matchups that could influence the title race and the fight for European spots. Teams are starting to find their rhythm, and each game brings new challenges and opportunities. With Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, and other contenders eager to climb the table, fans are in for an intense weekend of action. Here’s a closer look at the standout fixtures and what to expect from this thrilling matchday.

Union Berlin VS SC Freiburg

• Win Probability:Union Berlin40%,SC Freiburg31%, Draw 29%
• Score Prediction: Union Berlin 2-1 SC Freiburg
• Game time: Fri, Nov 8, 11:30 AM

Pre-Match Insight

• This marks the 17th encounter between 1. FC Union Berlin and SC Freiburg in professional football. Union remain unbeaten at home against Freiburg in the Bundesliga, with a record of 3 wins and 2 draws. Last season, on matchday 34, the Berliners triumphed 2-1 thanks to a dramatic injury-time goal that helped them avoid the relegation play-off.
• FC Union Berlin have yet to lose at home in the Bundesliga this season, registering 3 wins and 1 draw. With 10 points and three victories from their first four home matches, they are matching their best-ever start to a top-flight campaign, having previously achieved the same record in 2022/23.
• However, Union have lost their last two competitive fixtures, failing to score in either match. Under Bo Svensson’s management, they only suffered one defeat in his first nine competitive matches (W5, D3). Their current two-game losing streak is the second-longest of 2024, with three losses in a row in April.
• SC Freiburg boasts the joint fourth-best defense in the Bundesliga this season, having conceded just 11 goals, alongside St. Pauli. Union Berlin is slightly ahead, with the third-best defense (8 goals conceded). Only RB Leipzig (5 goals conceded) and Bayern Munich (7) have a better defensive record. Additionally, only Bayern (6.1) has a lower Expected Goals Against (xGA) than Freiburg (8.6) and Union (10.7).
• In terms of goal-scoring, Union Berlin has only managed 9 goals this season, the second-fewest in the league, with St. Pauli scoring just 7. This is tied with their worst-ever tally after nine Bundesliga matches, matching the same number from the 2019/20 season. Union also ranks second in terms of fewest shots per game (11.8), only ahead of Holstein Kiel (11), and they have created the joint-fewest clear-cut chances in the league (13, the same as St. Pauli).

VfL Bochum VS Leverkusen

• Win Probability:VfL Bochum10%,Leverkusen76%, Draw 14%
• Score Prediction: VfL Bochum 0-3 Leverkusen
• Game time: Sat, Nov 9, 6:30 AM

Pre-Match Insight

• VfL Bochum have historically been successful against teams like Eintracht Frankfurt (25 wins) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (20 wins), and they have also beaten Bayer 04 Leverkusen 17 times. However, in their last 10 encounters with Leverkusen, Bochum have only managed one victory—a 3-0 home win in May 2023—while drawing three times and losing six.
• Bochum’s current season has started on a notably poor note, as they have accumulated just one point from their opening nine matches, matching the worst-ever Bundesliga start set by Greuther Fürth (2021/22) and 1. FC Saarbrücken (1963/64). Both of those teams ended up being relegated after finishing last. Factoring in their goal difference of -20, Bochum’s current start is the worst recorded in Bundesliga history.
• Bayer 04 Leverkusen, with 16 points after nine games, are trailing their performance from the previous season, when they had 25 points at the same stage. The last defending champion to have such a slow start was Borussia Dortmund in 2012/13, with 15 points.
• Leverkusen have remained unbeaten in their last 21 away matches in the Bundesliga, winning 16 and drawing 5. Only FC Bayern Munich have had longer away unbeaten streaks in league history, with 33 games between 2012 and 2014 and 26 games between 1985 and 1987. Leverkusen’s last away defeat came against Bochum on matchday 34 of the 2022/23 season (3-0).
• Defensively, VfL Bochum have struggled, conceding 29 goals in their first nine games—marking their worst defensive record at this stage of a Bundesliga season. Only three teams have conceded more goals at this point: SV Darmstadt in 2023/24 (30 goals), Eintracht Braunschweig in 1984/85 (31 goals), and Tennis Borussia Berlin in 1976/77 (31 goals).

FC St. Pauli VS Bayern

• Win Probability:FC St. Pauli 9%,Bayern77%, Draw 14%
• Score Prediction: FC St. Pauli 1-4 Bayern
• Game time: Sat, Nov 9, 6:30 AM

Pre-Match Insight

• FC St. Pauli have managed only one victory in 10 home encounters with FC Bayern in professional football, achieving a 2-1 win in February 2002. Their most recent clash in May 2011 saw Bayern secure an emphatic 8-1 victory in Hamburg, marking their largest ever away win in the Bundesliga. Conversely, this match stands as St. Pauli’s most severe top-flight loss.
• This season, FC St. Pauli have scored just seven goals, the lowest tally in the Bundesliga, whereas FC Bayern have netted 32, leading the league. Vincent Kompany holds a unique record as no coach in Bundesliga history has seen their team score as many goals (32) in their first nine matches as he has.
• St. Pauli have failed to find the back of the net in their first four home Bundesliga games this season, tying a divisional record. The only other team to share this record is Greuther Fürth, who went scoreless in their initial four home games in the 2012/13 season before scoring in their fifth match against Werder Bremen.
• Vincent Kompany has had an impressive start at Bayern, amassing 23 points from his first nine Bundesliga matches—the best beginning by a Bayern coach since Carlo Ancelotti in 2016. Only Ottmar Hitzfeld has accumulated more points in his first nine games (25 points in 1998).
• Six of St. Pauli’s eight points this season have come from away fixtures. Extending across multiple seasons, the team has been winless in their last nine Bundesliga home games (D2, L7), which is their current longest home drought. Failing to secure a win in their fifth home game of the season would match their negative record set in the 1989/90 season.

Augsburg VS Hoffenheim

• Win Probability:Augsburg45%,Hoffenheim30%, Draw 25%
• Score Prediction: Augsburg 2-2 Hoffenheim
• Game time: Sun, Nov 10, 6:30 AM

Pre-Match Insight

• This fixture features two sides capable of quick transitions and goal-scoring. Augsburg’s recent home record shows resilience, but Hoffenheim’s ability to create chances in open play could see them capitalize on any defensive lapses.

Heidenheim VS Wolfsburg

• Win Probability:Heidenheim 36%,Wolfsburg 37%, Draw 27%
• Score Prediction: Heidenheim 1-2 Wolfsburg
• Game time: Sun, Nov 10, 10:30 AM

Pre-Match Insight

• This is expected to be a tightly contested match. Wolfsburg’s slight edge in experience and technical ability should see them take a narrow victory, although Heidenheim’s organized play, especially at home, will pose a challenge.

Werder VS Holstein kiel

• Win Probability:Werder 60%,Holstein kiel 19%, Draw 21%
• Score Prediction: Werder Bremen 3-1 Holstein Kiel
• Game time: Sat, Nov 9, 6:30 AM

Pre-Match Insight

• Werder Bremen suffered defeats in both of their encounters with Holstein Kiel during the 2021/22 Bundesliga 2 season, losing 2-1 away and 3-2 at home. Their only victory in four matches against the Storks since the Bundesliga’s inception came at home in September 1980 in the northern group of the then-second division, ending 5-1.
• Last season, Werder Bremen failed to secure a single victory against the promoted sides 1. FC Heidenheim and SV Darmstadt in the Bundesliga, recording one draw and three losses. Over multiple seasons, Werder are winless in their last five top-flight matches against promoted teams (one draw, four losses), marking their longest streak since 2015-2016, when they went winless in eight such games.
• This season, only two of Werder Bremen’s 12 Bundesliga points have come from home matches (17% – the lowest percentage among all teams). They have started this Bundesliga campaign without a win in their first four home fixtures for the first time since the 2017/18 season, when their first victory at Weserstadion came in their sixth home match.
• Holstein Kiel’s 1-0 win over 1. FC Heidenheim marked their first-ever Bundesliga victory, achieved in their ninth match in the top flight. The Storks remain winless in their four away matches in the Bundesliga. Among the last nine teams making their Bundesliga debut, only 1. FC Heidenheim took longer to achieve their first away win, securing it in their eighth game.
• Werder Bremen are one of only two teams, along with FC St. Pauli, yet to have led a Bundesliga home match this season. Additionally, Holstein Kiel have only managed to be in the lead for seven minutes during their away matches, the lowest in the league.

Mainz VS Dortmund

• Win Probability:Mainz 27%,Dortmund 48%, Draw 25%
• Score Prediction: Mainz 1-3 Dortmund
• Game time: Sat, Nov 9, 6:30 AM

Pre-Match Insight

• FSV Mainz 05 remain undefeated in their last three Bundesliga clashes against Borussia Dortmund (one win, two draws), equaling a streak they achieved once before (six games between 2005 and 2010). This current run began with a 2-2 draw in Dortmund on matchday 34 of the 2022/23 season, which ultimately cost BVB the league title. Following a 3-0 victory at home in their last encounter, Mainz now have the chance to secure consecutive Bundesliga wins over Dortmund for the first time in history.
• However, Mainz are without a victory in their last three Bundesliga outings, managing only two out of a possible nine points. This matches their longest winless run in the league under Bo Henriksen. The last time they endured a longer drought was during their final 11 matches under Jan Siewert in the 2023/24 season (six draws, five losses).
• Borussia Dortmund have maintained a perfect record in their five home Bundesliga games this season but have yet to claim victory in any of their four away fixtures. Should they fail to win against Mainz, Dortmund would become only the second team this century to achieve five home wins without an away victory in their first five matches (following Borussia Mönchengladbach in 2013/14). The last time Dortmund experienced this was in the 1967/68 season.
• FSV Mainz 05 have yet to win any of their first five home Bundesliga matches this season (two draws, three losses). They previously only started a top-flight campaign with more consecutive winless home games in 2020/21 (nine). Only VfL Bochum (with one point) have accumulated fewer points at home than Mainz this season, who have managed just two.
• Borussia Dortmund have suffered defeats in their last five competitive away games, marking their longest losing streak on the road since 2006/07, when they lost six straight under the management of Bert van Marwijk, Jürgen Röber, and Thomas Doll. The last time they had only one point from their first four away matches of a Bundesliga season was in 1989/90.

RB Leipzig VS Mönchengladbach

• Win Probability:RB Leipzig 63%,Mönchengladbach 17%, Draw 20%
• Score Prediction: RB Leipzig 2-0 Mönchengladbach
• Game time: Sat, Nov 9, 6:30 AM

Pre-Match Insight

• Borussia Mönchengladbach average just 0.75 points per Bundesligagame against RB Leipzig, their worst return against any side. Leipzighave won each of the last three meetings without conceding a singlegoal, and they have never lost at home to the Foals in the top flight (w5D3).
• The 2-1 defeat at Borussia Dortmund on matchday 9 ended RBLeipzig’s club record 19-game unbeaten run in the Bundesliga (W13,D6). With 20 points from nine games, they have the exact same recordthey had at this stage oflast season (W6, D2, L1)-they have only everbeen better off in 2016/17 (21 points).
• Borussia Monchengladbach are unbeaten in three Bundesliga gamesand have claimed seven of a possible nine points (W2, D1). This is theirbest three-game sequence in a year (also 7 points from 3 games inOctober/November 2023).However, the Foals still haven’t wonconsecutive Bundesliga matches within one season since March 2022
• RB Leipzig are on an 11-game unbeaten run at home in the Bundesligasince losing 3-2 to Bayer 04 Leverkusen on 20th January 2024 (W8,D3)-only VfB Stuttgart are on a longer undefeated streak at home (16games). Leipzig have conceded just three goals in these 11 matches,recording eight clean sheets
• Despite letting in three goals across their last two league games, RBLeipzig still have the best defence in the Bundesliga this season withfive goals conceded- a new club record at this stage of a top-flightcampaign. The last team to have let in as few goals after ninematchdays was VfL Wolfsburg in 2019120 (also 5).

VfB Stuttgart VS Eintracht Frankfurt

• Win Probability:VfB Stuttgart 54%,Eintracht Frankfurt 24%, Draw 22%
• Score Prediction: VfB Stuttgart 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt
• Game time: Sat, Nov 10, 8:30 AM

Pre-Match Insight

• Stuttgart’s home form and attacking momentum should provide them with an advantage, although Eintracht Frankfurt’s midfield strength could test them. Expect Stuttgart to edge out a win in a competitive matchup.

Bundesliga latest standings

Bundesliga Matchday 9 Results

Closing

In Matchday 10 of the Bundesliga, fans can expect intense competition as teams vie for crucial points that could shape the season’s momentum. Top teams will look to solidify their spots at the top of the table, while those at the bottom will fight to climb out of relegation danger. With stars like Harry Kane, Leroy Sané, and Serhou Guirassy in top form, this weekend promises goals, drama, and thrilling football. As always, unexpected upsets and last-minute heroics may define the narrative, making it a must-watch for fans around the world. Let the games begin, and may the best team triumph!