Bundesliga Matchday 8 Predictions

As the Bundesliga heads into Matchday 8, the competition heats up, with teams jostling for position both at the top and bottom of the table. This weekend promises intense matchups, tactical battles, and possibly a few surprises. Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen have set the pace so far, but with clubs like Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, and others in the mix, every point counts. Let’s dive into our predictions for this week’s most exciting clashes, analyzing team form, key players, and potential game-changers.

Bundesliga standings 2024-2025 Matchday 9

Mainz VS Monchengladbach Today 11:30 AM

Score Prediction: Mainz 2-1 Monchengladbach

Win Probability

• Mainz: 41%
• Monchengladbach: 34%
• Draw: 25%

Pre-Match Insights:

• FSV Mainz 05 are unbeaten in their last seven Bundesliga games against Borussia Monchengladbach (W3, D4), despite losing each of their previous five matches against the Foals. This is Mainz’s longest ongoing undefeated run against any current top-flight side.
• FSV Mainz 05 has lost three consecutive Bundesliga home games for the first time in a year, despite having gone unbeaten in BoHenriksen’s first eight league matches at home. FSV are winless from their first four home games of the new season (D1,L3)-they have only ever waited longer for a home victory at the start of a top-flight campaign in 2020/21 (9 games).
• FSV Mainz 05 have lost three of their last five Bundesliga games(W2)- more defeats than they suffered in Bo Henriksen’s first 15 matches in charge (2). They are yet to lose back-to-back games under the Dane, most recently doing so in January/February with Jan Siewertin in the dugout.
• Borussia Monchengladbach’s 3-2 win over 1. FC Heidenheim was their third victory of the campaign (L4), more than they managed in the whole of the second half of last season (2).Gladbach most recently recorded back-to-back league victories over two years ago, from May to August 2022

RB Leipzig VS SC Freiburg Tomorrow 6.30 AM

Score Prediction: RB Leipzig 2-0 Freiburg

Win Probability

• RB Leipzig: 56%
• SC Freiburg: 21%
• Draw: 23%

Pre-Match Insights:

• RB Leipzig are unbeaten in their last 11 competitive games against SCFreiburg (W7, D4). Freiburg last beat them five years ago to the day, or 26th October 2019, with Julian Nagelsmann in charge of Leipzig -it’s Freiburg’s longest ongoing winless run against any current top-flight side.
• RB Leipzig is unbeaten in all nine of their competitive home games against SC Freiburg (W6, D3)- they haven’t faced any other side as often at home without ever losing, while SC Freiburg hasn’t played any team as often away from home in professional football without winning at least once.
• 17 points after seven games are RB Leipzig’s best-ever return at this stage of a Bundesliga season. They are unbeaten after seven matchdays for just the second time, having only previously managed in their maiden top-flight campaign in 2016/17
• RB Leipzig are now unbeaten in their last 18 Bundesliga games (W12D6), thus extending their club record. Their most recent league defeat came on 24th February at FC Bayern (2-1).
• SC Freiburg has won five of their seven Bundesliga games this season(D2)-their highest number of wins at this stage of a top-flight campaign. They have also never had more points at this stage than their current tally of 15 (also 15 points in 2021/22)

Augsburg VS Dortmund TomoroW 6:30 AM

Score Prediction: Augsburg 1-2 Dortmund

Win Probability

• Augsburg: 26%
• Dortmund: 50%
• Draw: 24%

Pre-Match Insights:

• Borussia Dortmund is unbeaten in their last seven Bundesliga games against FC Augsburg (W5, D2)-of teams currently in the top flight, they only boast a longer undefeated run right now against St. Pauli (11 games). However, they have only managed two wins from their last six trips to Augsburg (D2, L2, previously w5 from 6).
• FC Augsburg has lost 10 of their 14 Bundesliga games since the start of April (W3, D1)- only VfL Bochum have suffered as many defeats during this period, and no Bundesliga team has lost more often. All 10 of FCA’s points in this timeframe have come at home
• Nine of FC Augsburg’s 10 Bundesliga goals this season have come at home- they have scored a league-high proportion of their goals on home turf (90%). Including last season, opponents Borussia Dortmund are currently on a five-game wait for a Bundesliga away win (D1, L4), something that last happened to them between August and November 2019 under Lucien Favre.
• With 13 points from seven games, BVB is four points worse off than at the same stage of last season. Over the previous nine Bundesliga campaigns, Dortmund has only had fewer points on the board after matchdays in 2019/20 (12 points under Lucien Favre)
• Just one of Borussia Dortmund’s 13 points this season has come on the road and they rank 16th in the away form table. It’s also the first time in12 years that BVB has started a campaign with three winless away games, while Nuri Sahin is their first coach since jürgen Rober in 2007to fail to win any of his first three Bundesliga away games in charge.

FC St. Pauli VS Wolfsburg Tomorrow 6.30 AM

Score Prediction: St. Pauli 1-1 Wolfsburg

Win Probability

• FC St. Pauli: 37%
• Wolfsburg: 36%
• Draw: 27%

Pre-Match Insights:

• FC St. Pauli are unbeaten in their four Bundesliga games against VflWolfsburg (W1, D3)-they haven’t faced any other team as often in the top flight without ever losing, while the Wolves haven’t played any sideas often without winning at least once. Overall, St. Pauli has only lost one of their 14 games against Wolfsburg in the Bundesliga and second division (4-1 A in June 1994, otherwise W5, D8).
• Five defeats from the first seven matchdays is a new negative club record for FC St Pauli in the Bundesliga. VfL Wolfsburg has lost four games already- they have never suffered more defeats at this stage in the top flight (most recently 4 in 2022123).
• VfL Wolfsburg has scored in each of their last eight Bundesliga games(for the first time since between October 2022 and February 2023,12 in a row then). 15 goals after the first seven matchdays have equaled their club record (from 2009/10). The Wolves are just one of four teams to score in every game so far in 2024/25, while opponents St. Pauli have drawn a blank the most often in the division (4 times)
• Both of VfL Wolfsburg’s Bundesliga wins, and six of their seven points have come away from home this season. In Ralph Hasenhuttl’s seven games to date, VfL has alternated between wins (4) and defeats(3).After winning their last away match in Bochum 3-1. they are due to another defeat based on this pattern.
• Since a 3-1 win over Gladbach in February 2011, FC St. Pauli have claimed just one point from eight Bundesliga home games (D1, L7). Eight home games without a win is a joint negative club record in the top flight, they have never gone nine in a row without victory. The theKiezkicker are also waiting to score their first home goal this season -they have never drawn a blank in four straight home games within a single Bundesliga campaign.

VfB Stuttgart VS Holstein Kiel Tomorrow 6.30 AM

Score Prediction: Stuttgart 3-0 Kiel

Win Probability

• VfB Stuttgart: 78%
• Holstein Kiel: 9%
• Draw: 13%

Pre-Match Insights:

• VfB Stuttgart have lost three of their four competitive games against Holstein Kiel to date (W1), including the last two meetings in Bundesliga2 in 2019/20 (1-0 H, 3-2 A). VfB’s only previous home game against Kiel saw them lose 1-0 in October 2019 Bayern is the only side theyhave ever suffered defeats to in each of their first two home clashes inprofessional football.
• With nine points on the board, VfB Stuttgart only have half as manypoints as they did after seven games last season. Holstein Kiel are onjust two points, making them the worst debutants in the Bundesligasince SV Darmstadt 98 in 1978179 (also 2 points from 7 games)
• VfB Stuttgart’s 4-0 defeat in Munich last time out ended their 22-gamescoring run in the Bundesliga. They are now also winless in threeleague games for the first time under Sebastien HoeneB (D2, L1), theirlongest wait for a victory since early 2023 (5 games back then)
• VfB Stuttgart have only lost one of their 24 Bundesliga home gamesunder Sebastian Hoeneß (3-2 against Hoffenheim in October 2023since then W10, D5) and have found the net in every single one of them-no other Bundesliga side has gone longer without defeat at home (15games)nor scored in as many consecutive home matches (24)
• Holstein Kiel is the first team since 1. FC Saarbrucken (first 10) and Karlsruhe SC (also 7, both in the first-ever Bundesliga season in 1963/64) concede at least two goals in each of the first seven Bundesliga games in their history. Only Rot-Weil Essen in 1976/77 (first11)and Saarbrucken in 1963/64 have ever conceded at least two goals in each of their first eight games of a Bundesliga campaign.

Werder VS Leverkusen Tomorrow 9.30 AM

Score Prediction: Werder 1-3 Leverkusen

Win Probability

• Werder: 18%
• Leverkusen: 63%
• Draw: 19%

Pre-Match Insights:

• SV Werder Bremen have won just one of their last 14 competitive games against Bayer 04 Leverkusen (D6, L7):3-1 in the Bundesliga in March 2019. Werder’s last victory at home against the Werkself dates back to October 2016 (2-1), while they are winless in six matches at home against them since (D2, L4). Leverkusen were crowned Bundesliga champions for the first time following the most recent match between the sides on matchday 29 of 2023124.
• SV Werder Bremen have lost seven of their last eight primetime fixtures in the Bundesliga, only managing to beat 1. FC Koln in this timeslot in September 2023 (2-1)Bayer Leverkusen is winless in their last three Saturday evening fixtures in the Bundesliga (D2, L1), having won eight of their previous 10 (D1, L1).
• All 12 of the goals Werder have scored in the Bundesliga this season have come on the road- a new league record for the most away goals without scoring at home (previously VfB Stuttgart in 1985/86 whose first goals all came away from home). SVW and St. Pauli are the only ones still waiting for a Bundesliga goal on home soil this season. Werder, playing in their 60th season in the top flight, have failed to score in their first three matches at the Weserstadion for the first time
• Bayer 04 Leverkusen are the first Bundesliga champions since 1. FC Kaiserslautern in 1998/99 failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their opening seven league games of the season. Only FCK (10 games back then) and FC Bayern (12 games in 1981/82) have ever started a campaign with a longer wait for a shutout than the defending champions.
• Bayer 04 Leverkusen (591)and S Werder Bremen (610) have contested the fewest duels of any side in the Bundesliga, while only FC Bayern (139) have entered fewer aerial duels than B04 (149) and SVW(157)

VfL Bochum VS Bayern Sun, Oct 27 7:30 AM

Score Prediction: Bochum 1-4 Bayern

Win Probability

• VfL Bochum: 6%
• Bayern: 84%
• Draw: 10%

Pre-Match Insights:

• Since their return to the Bundesliga in 2021, Vfl Bochum has won two of their three league home games against FC Bayern München (most recently 3-2 in February 2024), as many victories as they managed in their previous 21 top-flight home games against FCB combined. They only beaten Hoffenheim more often in Bochum over the last three reasons (3 times)
• FC Bayern Munchen is in first place going into matchday 8, while VflBochum are bottom of the table. Of the last 15 games between the first and last-placed sides, the latter has only managed to win once (D1.L13): Bochum themselves beat Union Berlin 2-1 in October 2022.FCBayern’s most recent defeat against a team sitting bottom of the pile came in March 2008 when they were beaten 2-0 in Cottbus (W27.D3since)
• One point from seven games represents Vfl Bochum’s joint record at this stage of a Bundesliga campaign (same as in 2022/23). the 13th time in league history that a club has had just one point at this stage, with only 1. FC Koln (3 times) and Bochum (2 times) experienced this on multiple occasions.
• FC Bayern Munchen have scored 17 goals in their first four Bundesliga away games this season -a new league record. They have found the back of the net at least three times in each of their last four top-flight games on their travels and would equal the league record should they do so again this weekend (set by FCB themselves in 2019/20 under Flick)
• FC Bayern München have kept just one clean sheet in their last 15 Bundesliga away games (5-0 vs. Werder in mid-September). Only VflBochum (31) have conceded more goals on the road in 2024 than the Bavarians (29).Meanwhile, VfL are on a 23-game wait for a shutout in the Bundesliga-their second-longest run in the top flight (25 games from 2002 to 2003)

Union Berlin VS Eintracht Frankfurt Sun, Oct 27 9.30 AM

Score Prediction: Union Berlin 1-1 Frankfurt

Win Probability

• Union Berlin: 37%
• Eintracht Frankfurt: 35%
• Draw: 28%

Pre-Match Insights:

• FC Union Berlin has won just three of their 11 competitive games against Eintracht Frankfurt since their promotion to the Bundesliga in 2019 (D2, L6), failing to score in each of their last three meetings. Since the start of 2019/20, the Union has only drawn a blank more often against Leverkusen and Leipzig (5 times each) than they have against the Eagles (4 times)
• 14 points from seven matches represent Union Berlin’s second-best start to a Bundesliga season (17 points in 2022/23). They have conceded just four goals so far, equalling the club record at this stage of the top-flight campaign (also in 2022/23)
• Eintracht Frankfurt currently has 13 points and has scored 15 representing their best start to a Bundesliga campaign in 12 years -they had 16 points and 16 goals at this stage of 2012113.
• Union Berlin has won each of their first three Bundesliga home games this season (only otherwise achieved in 2022/23) and could now open an atop-flight campaign with four straight home wins for the first time. Borussia Dortmund (W4) is the only other side to have also won all of their Bundesliga home games so far in 2024/25
• Union Berlin have the second best defence in the Bundesliga thisseason (4 goals conceded)- only RB Leipzig have let in fewer goals(2).The Berliners now come up against Frankfurt, who have the jointthird best attack in the division (15 goals scored)- only Bayern (24times) and Leverkusen (18) have found the back of the net more often.
• Union Berlin has the second-best defense in the Bundesliga this season (4 goals conceded)- only RB Leipzig has let in fewer goals(2). The Berliners now come up against Frankfurt, who have the joint third-best attack in the division (15 goals scored)- only Bayern (24 times) and Leverkusen (18) have found the back of the net more often.

Heidenheim VS Hoffenheim Sun, Oct 27 11:30 AM

Score Prediction: Heidenheim 1-2 Hoffenheim

Win Probability

• Heidenheim: 42%
• Hoffenheim: 32%
• Draw: 25%

Pre-Match Insights:

• FC Heidenheim and TSG Hoffenheim’s first competitive meetings in professional football came in the Bundesliga last season. Heidenheim failed to win either encounter (D1.L1), suiting their first-ever home defeat in the top flight against TSG on matchday 2 (3-2).
• FC Heidenheim have lost each of their last two Bundesliga games -three straight defeats would see them equal a negative club record (set in October 2023). Defeat against Hoffenheim would also be their third in a row at home first for them in the Bundesliga
• TSG Hoffenheim ended a five-game wait for a win in the Bundesliga with a 3-1 victory against Bochum last time out. It was their first win in the division since matchday 1 (3-2 vs. Kiel). TSG currently has seven points and has only been worse off at this stage once before (5 points in 2015/16).
• TSG Hoffenheim is without a win in their last three Bundesliga away games, picking up just one of a possible nine points in this timeframe. Only Augsburg and Bochum (both 0 points) are below Hoffenheim in a table representing away form in the Bundesliga in 2024/25.
• FC Heidenheim allows their opponents an average of 17.0 passes outside of their defensive third before engaging in a defensive action -this is the third-highest PPDA rate in the Bundesliga this season. Only opponents Hoffenheim (17.4) and Eintracht Frankfurt (18.4) have a higher PPDA rate.

Closing:

Bundesliga Matchday 8 has plenty in store for football fans, from intense rivalries to must-win scenarios. The season is still young, but each game reveals a bit more about the contenders and pretenders in the race for glory. While it’s never easy to predict outcomes in such a competitive league, one thing is certain: fans are in for a thrilling weekend of football. Whether surprises or expected results, Matchday 8 promises excitement, as every goal and save could prove pivotal. Stay tuned to see how these predictions unfold!