La Liga matches matchday 11 predictions

As La Liga enters matchday 11, the competition is heating up with several high-stakes fixtures on the horizon. Teams are starting to find their rhythm, and the league table is beginning to take shape. Fans and pundits alike are eagerly anticipating which clubs will rise to the occasion and secure crucial points. With title contenders and relegation battlers all in action, matchday 11 promises to deliver drama, surprises, and plenty of talking points. In this article, we’ll break down the key matchups and offer our predictions for the outcomes.

Espanyol vs Sevilla

• Win Probability:
• Espanyol: 32%
• Sevilla: 39%
• Game time: 2024-10-26 12:00 PM
• Prediction: Espanyol 1-2 Sevilla

Pre-Match Insights:

• Espanyol have not won any of their last 10 games against Sevilla in LaLiga (D3 L7) and have never gone 11 in a row without beating the Nervión side in the competition (they also had 10 between 2011 and 2015 – D3 L7).
• After two straight away defeats in 2016 and 2017, Sevilla have taken points in each of their last five LaLiga away games against Espanyol (W4 D1), equaling their longest unbeaten away run against Los Periquitos in the top flight (also five between 2011 and 2014 – W3 D2).
• Espanyol have not won any of their last five games played on a Friday in La Liga (D2 L3), while Sevilla have not won any of their last 11 on that day in the competition (D5 L6).
• Espanyol have lost four of their last five games in La Liga (W1), twice as many defeats as in their previous nine games in the competition (W3 D4 L2).
• Sevilla are winless away from home in LaLiga in their last eight games (D4 L4) and could equal their worst winless run away from home in the competition in the last five years (nine games between May and December 2023, D4 L5).

Valladolid vs Villarreal

• Win Probability:
• Valladolid: 27%
• Villarreal: 48%
• Game time: Sat, Oct 26, 5:00 AM
• Prediction: Valladolid 0-2 Villarreal

Pre-Match Insights:

• After winning six of their first 13 La Liga matches against Villarreal (D2 L5), Real Valladolid has won only three of their last 13 matches against the Yellows in the competition (D3 L7).
• Villarreal are on their best run of consecutive wins (two) and unbeaten games (four, W2 D2) away to Valladolid in La Liga. In fact, they have scored on each of their last three visits to Pucela (six goals in total) after failing to do so in nine of their previous 10 league trips (two goals in total).
• Real Valladolid are coming off a win in their last La Liga match, 3-2 against Alavés, after failing to win any of their previous eight (D2 L6). They haven’t won two or more in a row in the competition since April 2023 (one of them against Villarreal).
• Villarreal have lost just one of their last seven La Liga away games (W4 D2), although it was the most recent one (0-2 against Real Madrid). Only Barcelona (15) have taken more away points than the Yellows in the competition this season (10).
• In the last league game against Alavés, Real Valladolid scored two goals from penalties (Mamadou Sylla and Selim Amallah) in the same LaLiga game for just the second time in the 21st century, after doing so in August 2012 against Levante (both scored by Victor Pérez).

Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés

• Win Probability:
• Rayo Vallecano: 27%
• Alavés: 48%
• Prediction: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Alavés
• Game time: Sat, Oct 26, 7:15 AM

Pre-Match Insights:

• Rayo Vallecano have won three of their last five matches against Alavés in La Liga (L2), as many wins as in their previous nine games against them in the competition (W3 D2 L4).
• At home, Rayo Vallecano is on their best run of wins and clean sheets against Alavés in La Liga, winning their last two home games against them by identical 2-0 scorelines.
• Alavés have failed to win on each of their last 12 visits to teams from the Madrid region in LaLiga (D2 L10), losing each of the last seven; this is their second-longest away losing streak to these sides in the top flight (L10 between 1931 and 1999).
• Rayo Vallecano have not lost any of their last three home games in LaLiga (W1 D2), having lost three of their previous four (W1). However, they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last nine home games in the competition, their longest run of conceding at Vallecas in the top flight since October 2022 (G13 W2 D4 L7).
• Alavés have lost each of their last four La Liga matches and have not lost 5+ in a row in the competition since a six-game losing streak in September 2021 under Javier Calleja.

Las Palmas vs Girona

• Win Probability:
• Las Palmas: 32%
• Girona: 40%
• Draw: 28%
• Prediction: Las Palmas 0-1 Girona
• Game time: Sat, Oct 26, 7:15 AM

Pre-Match Insights:

• Las Palmas have lost all four of their matches against Girona in La Liga, failing to score in three of them; they are the only opponent against whom they have lost 100% of their top-flight fixtures.
• At home, Las Palmas have not won any of their last five games in all competitions against Girona (D1 L4), having won the previous four at home to the Catalans.
• Las Palmas have not won any of their last 12 home games in La Liga (D6 L6), their longest winless run at home in the top flight.
• Girona have won just one of their last six La Liga matches (D2 L3), having won four of their previous six in the competition (D1 L1).
• Only Getafe (87) has made more high turnovers without scoring than Girona (77, with only eight ending in a shot) in La Liga this season.

Real Madrid vs. Barcelona

• Win Probability
• Real Madrid: 48%
• Barcelona: 29%
• Draw: 23%
• Prediction: Real Madrid 2-1 Barcelona
• Game Time: Sat, Oct 26, 12:00 PM

Pre-Match Insights

• Real Madrid have won their last four meetings against Barcelona in all competitions and could record five consecutive wins in El Clásico for only the second time in the past 59 years (previously five wins between 2020 and 2022).
• Since 2020, Barcelona have lost 10 of their 14 matches in El Clásico across all competitions (W4). This equals the total number of defeats they suffered in the previous 39 matches (W19 D10 L10), starting from Josep Guardiola’s first game as coach in December 2008.
• Real Madrid have won four of their last five home matches against Barcelona in LaLiga (L1), including the last two. They have not achieved three consecutive home wins over Barcelona in the competition since a streak of four victories between 1988 and 1991.
• Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last 42 LaLiga matches (W31 D11) and could equal the league record of 43 unbeaten games, previously set by Barcelona between April 2017 and May 2018 (W34 D9).
• Barcelona have gone 26 consecutive games without a draw in all competitions (W21 L5 since March). They could match their longest run without a draw since October 2005 to March 2006 under Frank Rijkaard (27 games: W24 L3).

Leganés vs. Celta Vigo

• Win Probability
• Leganés: 29%
• Celta Vigo: 41%
• Draw: 30%
• Prediction: Leganés 1-1 Celta Vigo
• Game Time: Sun, Oct 27, 6:00 AM

Pre-Match Insights

• Leganés have won three of their eight matches against Celta Vigo in LaLiga (D2 L3), including a 1-0 victory in their top-flight debut in August 2016. Only against Espanyol (four wins) do they have more victories.
• After winning their first two visits to Leganés (2-1 in the Copa del Rey in 2001 and 2-0 in LaLiga in 2017), Celta have failed to win in their last three away games at Leganés (D1 L2).
• Celta have won just one of their last 29 away games against Madrid-based teams in LaLiga (D9 L19), with a 3-0 victory over Getafe in October 2021. They’ve lost their last three such games.
• Leganés are winless in their last eight LaLiga matches (D4 L4) since a 2-1 win over Las Palmas in August. This is their longest winless run in the competition since October 2019 (11 games: D2 L9).
• Celta won their last LaLiga away game 1-0 against Las Palmas but have not won two consecutive away matches in the league since May 2021.

Getafe vs. Valencia

• Win Probability
• Getafe: 43%
• Valencia: 26%
• Draw: 31%
• Prediction: Getafe 1-0 Valencia
• Game Time: Sun, Oct 27, 8:15 AM

Pre-Match Insights

• Getafe have lost three of their last six matches against Valencia in LaLiga (W2 D1) after losing only one of the previous 10 encounters (W4 D5 L1).
• Getafe are unbeaten in their last five home matches against Valencia in LaLiga, keeping clean sheets in all five (W4 D1). This is their longest unbeaten and clean-sheet streak against Valencia at home.
• Valencia have failed to win in their last three away games against teams from the Madrid region in LaLiga (D1 L2), and they haven’t scored in any of those three. They’ve never gone four straight away games without scoring in this region.
• Getafe have won just one of their last 10 home games in LaLiga (D5 L4) but are unbeaten in their first five home matches this season (W1 D4). This is the third time they’ve achieved this in LaLiga after 2006/07 (W4 D1) and 2023/24 (W2 D3).
• Valencia have only six points from their first 10 matches in LaLiga 2024/25 (W1 D3 L6). This is their second-lowest tally at this stage of a season, following 1957/58 (5 points: W0 D5 L5).

Real Betis vs. Atlético Madrid

• Win Probability
• Real Betis: 31%
• Atlético Madrid: 40%
• Draw: 29%
• Prediction: Real Betis 0-2 Atlético Madrid
• Game Time: Sun, Oct 27, 10:30 AM

Pre-Match Insights

• Real Betis have won only one of their last 15 home matches against Atlético Madrid in LaLiga (D4 L10), a 1-0 win in February 2019 under Quique Setién.
• In the Simeone era, Atlético have lost just 4.3% of their matches against Betis in LaLiga (W17 D5 L1). They only have a lower defeat percentage against Getafe (0% – W19 D4).
• Atlético have kept 13 clean sheets in their last 21 matches against Betis in LaLiga (W16 D4 L1). Only against Getafe (19) and Celta Vigo (15) have they recorded more clean sheets under Simeone.
• Real Betis have won four of their last seven LaLiga matches (D1 L2) after failing to win any of the previous six (D4 L2).
• Atlético are unbeaten in their last 11 LaLiga matches (W6 D5), their best unbeaten run since April 2023 (13 games: W10 D3).

Real Sociedad vs. Osasuna

• Win Probability
• Real Sociedad: 55%
• Osasuna: 19%
• Draw: 26%
• Prediction: Real Sociedad 2-0 Osasuna
• Game Time: Sun, Oct 27, 1:00 PM

Pre-Match Insights

• Real Sociedad have lost only one of their last 16 matches against Osasuna in LaLiga (W9 D6), a 0-1 loss in February 2024. They have not lost back-to-back matches against Osasuna since September 2010.
• Following their win at the Reale Arena in February 2024, Osasuna could win two consecutive away matches against Real Sociedad for the first time in LaLiga history.
• Osasuna have taken points in each of their last four away games in the Basque Country (W2 D2) after losing their previous three.
• Real Sociedad are unbeaten in their last four LaLiga matches (W2 D2) after losing five of their previous seven (W1 D1).
• Osasuna are coming off a 1-2 defeat to Real Betis and have not lost two consecutive matches since May (L4).

Mallorca vs. Athletic Club

• Win Probability
• Mallorca: 32%
• Athletic Club: 37%
• Draw: 31%
• Prediction: Mallorca 1-2 Athletic Club
• Game Time: Mon, Oct 28, 1:00 PM

Pre-Match Insights

• Mallorca are unbeaten in their last four home matches against Athletic Club in LaLiga (W1 D3), including two consecutive draws.
• Athletic have lost only one of their last 12 matches against Mallorca in LaLiga (W6 D5), a 2-3 defeat in February 2022.
• Athletic Club have lost just one of their last 15 meetings with Mallorca across all competitions (W8 D6).
• Mallorca have won 17 points from their first 10 matches this season (W5 D2 L3), their highest tally at this stage since 2009/10.

LaLiga standings 2024-2025

Conclusion:

Matchday 11 in La Liga could be a defining moment for many teams as they fight for their respective goals. Whether it’s a battle for the top of the table or a struggle to avoid the drop zone, every point counts in this fiercely competitive league. While predictions can give an insight into possible outcomes, the beauty of football lies in its unpredictability. As the final whistles blow, we’ll see which teams can capitalize on their opportunities and which will be left searching for answers ahead of the next round.