Ligue 1 Matchday 10 Predictions

As Ligue 1 heads into Matchday 10, excitement among fans continues to rise as teams battle for positioning in the league standings. This week promises intense matchups that could shape the course of the season, with key players stepping up to make an impact. With tight competition among the top contenders and several teams looking to break through, Matchday 10 offers intriguing matchups where every point counts. Let’s dive into what we can expect from this weekend’s games, analyzing potential outcomes and standout players to watch.

Ligue 1 latest standings 2024-2025

Monaco VS Angers

• Win Probability: Monaco 79%, Angers 7%, Draw 14%
• Predicted Score: Monaco 3-1 Angers

Pre-Match Insights:

• Monaco is currently on a seven-match winning streak against Angers in Ligue 1, marking their longest ongoing run against a single opponent in the top tier. Angers have not secured a victory over Monaco in Ligue 1 since a 1-0 triumph at Louis-II Stadium in September 2018.
• After a 2-1 defeat to Nice, Monaco risks experiencing back-to-back losses in Ligue 1 for the first time since the final three matchdays of the 2022/23 season in May and June 2023. Meanwhile, Angers secured their first win of the current Ligue 1 season with a 4-2 result against Saint-Étienne and could achieve consecutive top-flight victories for the first time since September 2022.
• Monaco remains unbeaten in their last 11 home games in Ligue 1 (7 wins, 4 draws), their best streak since the period from December 2017 to August 2018 (13 matches). However, their last home match ended in a 0-0 draw with Lille, and Monaco hasn’t had consecutive goalless home draws in the top flight since February/March 2015.
• Angers, on the other hand, is currently on a 19-match winless run away from home in Ligue 1 (5 draws, 14 losses). They are at risk of becoming the first team to go 20 consecutive away matches without a victory in the top flight since Lorient’s 28-game streak between November 2020 and February 2022. Nevertheless, Angers have managed to draw their last three away games, their longest unbeaten away run since a four-match streak between October and December 2021.

PSG VS Lens

• Win Probability: PSG 67%, Lens 14%, Draw 19%
• Predicted Score: PSG 2-0 Lens

Pre-Match Insights:

• Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) have secured victories in their last three Ligue 1 encounters against Lens and are on the verge of matching their best winning streak against them in the top flight, previously achieved in 1983-1984, 1993-1994, and 1996-1997. PSG have also remained unbeaten in their last eight Ligue 1 meetings with Lens (5 wins, 3 draws) since the 2007-2008 season, a significant turnaround after losing the previous five encounters.
• PSG (7 wins, 2 draws) could extend their unbeaten run to 10 games at the start of a Ligue 1 season for the eighth time under QSI ownership (since 2011/12). During this period, only Nice (twice) and Monaco (once) have managed this feat as well. Achieving this milestone would mark the 12th time in PSG’s history, a record unmatched by any other team in Ligue 1, being eight times more frequent than any other club.
• Lens, by contrast, have only managed one victory in their last seven Ligue 1 outings (5 draws, 1 loss), with their lone win coming against Saint-Étienne on October 19 (2-0).
• PSG have been prolific at home recently, scoring at least three goals in each of their last four Ligue 1 home matches (totaling 16 goals in that span). They could extend this streak to five consecutive matches, which would be their longest since their run from December 2019 to February 2020, where they accomplished this in six straight games.

St-Etienne VS Strasbourg

• Win Probability: St-Etienne 26%, Strasbourg 49%, Draw 25%
• Predicted Score: St-Etienne 1-2 Strasbourg

Pre-Match Insights:

• St. Etienne is set to host Strasbourg in Ligue 1, marking their first meeting at home since February 20, 2022, when the match ended in a 2-2 draw. ASSE has maintained an unbeaten record in their last five home matches against RSCA in the top flight, with three wins and two draws.
• This season, St. Etienne has accumulated fewer than 10 points after nine games for the second consecutive time (4 points in 2021/22 and 7 points in 2024/25), a situation that had not occurred in their prior 16 top-flight seasons.
• Strasbourg currently has 13 points in Ligue 1 this season, marking their best start after nine matches since the 2003/04 season when they had 14 points.
• At home this season, St. Etienne has two wins and two losses in Ligue 1 and could reach three victories after five home matches for the first time since the 2018/19 season.
• Strasbourg has only managed one away victory in Ligue 1 this year, drawing six times and losing six times, with that single win being a 3-1 victory over Nantes last March.

Auxerre VS Rennes

• Win Probability: Auxerre 27%, Rennes 47%, Draw 26%
• Predicted Score: Auxerre 1-2 Rennes

Pre-Match Insights:

• Auxerre failed to score against Rennes in their 2022/23 Ligue 1 campaign, suffering a 5-0 defeat away and settling for a 0-0 draw at home.
• Auxerre have not managed a win in their last two home matches against Rennes in Ligue 1 (one draw, one loss), but they have never had a longer winless streak at home against this opponent.
• After enduring four consecutive defeats, Auxerre have turned their form around, losing just one of their last four Ligue 1 matches (two wins, one draw).
• Rennes have accumulated 11 points after their first nine Ligue 1 fixtures this season, the same tally as at this point last season. In each of the four previous seasons in the top flight, Rennes had surpassed this total by this stage.
• Auxerre have won their last two home games in Ligue 1 but haven’t secured three consecutive home wins since a four-game streak between January and March 2010.

Nantes VS Marseille

• Win Probability: Nantes 25%, Marseille 48%, Draw 27%
• Predicted Score: Nantes 1-2 Marseille

Pre-Match Insights:

• Nantes have failed to win in their last eight Ligue 1 encounters against Marseille (2 draws, 6 losses) and could match their longest winless run against OM in the top tier (9 matches between 1988 and 1992).
• Nantes are winless in their last six Ligue 1 games (3 draws, 3 losses) and could face their longest period without a victory in the top division since their 14-match winless stretch from February to May 2023.
• Marseille have managed just one victory in their last four Ligue 1 outings (1 draw, 2 losses), following a streak of three consecutive wins prior to that.
• Nantes have recorded the fewest home victories in 2024 among all teams that have competed in a major European league throughout the year, with just one win.
• In the current season, Marseille boast four away victories, second only to Barcelona (6) in Europe’s big-five leagues, despite FCB having played two more away matches (7 compared to OM’s 5).

LOSC VS Lyon

• Win Probability: LOSC 45%, Lyon 30%, Draw 25%
• Predicted Score: LOSC 2-1 Lyon

Pre-Match Insights:

• Lille’s last home encounter with Lyon in Ligue 1 ended in a 4-3 loss this past May, but they haven’t suffered back-to-back defeats against OL in the top division since the 2006-07 season.
• In their recent history, Lille has only one win from their last eight Ligue 1 clashes with Lyon (D5 L2), a narrow 1-0 victory in March 2020.
• Lille has shown improved form, winning five of their last six games across all competitions (D1), after going winless in the five before that (D1 L4).
• Lyon, with four wins this Ligue 1 season (D2 L3), continues a 12-season trend of not reaching five wins within the first nine games. They had achieved that mark in 10 of their first 12 campaigns of the 21st century.
• Lille has found the net in each of their last 29 Ligue 1 home games (scoring 61 goals), marking the longest active streak in the league, their best since a 39-game streak from 1955 to 1959, and the longest league-wide since Monaco’s 53-game run from 2015 to 2018.

Brest VS Nice

• Win Probability: Brest 36%, Nice 35%, Draw 29%
• Predicted Score: Brest 1-1 Nice

Pre-Match Insights:

• Brest’s matchups with Nice were the only ones that didn’t see any goals scored in Ligue 1 last season.
• Brest have kept 14 clean sheets against Nice in Ligue 1—at least three more than against any other team. A clean sheet in this game would make it the first time SB29 have managed four consecutive shutouts against OGCN in the top division.
• Brest have claimed victory in four of their last seven Ligue 1 games (D1, L2), but they have yet to win back-to-back matches in the league this season.
• Nice are currently on a five-game unbeaten streak in Ligue 1 (W2, D3) and, if they avoid defeat against Brest, they will set their longest unbeaten run in the top-flight for 2024 (equaling their five-match streak from last April).
• Brest have won three of their last four Ligue 1 home games after failing to win any of the previous four (D2, L2), although their most recent home match ended in a 1-1 draw with Rennes.

Toulouse VS Reims

• Win Probability: Toulouse 47%, Reims 26%, Draw 27%
• Predicted Score: Toulouse 2-1 Reims

Pre-Match Insights:

• This will mark the 50th Ligue 1 encounter between Toulouse and Reims, with Toulouse claiming 16 wins, Reims 21, and 12 matches ending in draws. Toulouse has only managed two victories in their last six Ligue 1 games against Reims (with two draws and two losses), after securing five wins in the previous seven meetings (one draw, one loss).
• Toulouse has an impressive home record against Reims, suffering only one defeat in the last 60 years—a 0-1 loss in December 2019.
• In their recent Ligue 1 form, Toulouse has picked up four points from their last two matches (one win, one draw), almost equaling the five points they earned from their first seven games this season (one win, two draws, four losses).
• Reims, meanwhile, have lost their last two Ligue 1 outings by a 1-2 scoreline against Auxerre and Brest, marking one more defeat than they experienced across their previous ten games (six wins, three draws, one loss).
• Toulouse has struggled at home recently, with just one win in their last ten home league matches (four draws, five losses), that victory coming on September 15 against Le Havre (2-0).

Le Havre VS Montpellier

• Win Probability: Le Havre 44%, Montpellier 29%, Draw 27%
• Predicted Score: Le Havre 1-0 Montpellier

Pre-Match Insights:

• Le Havre has only suffered a single defeat against Montpellier in their last four Ligue 1 encounters in the 21st century (W1 D2), fewer than against any other team they’ve faced across multiple seasons during this time. However, this defeat came in their most recent meeting, with a 0-2 loss at the Stade Océane last March.
• In 2024, Le Havre has recorded 17 defeats in Ligue 1 (W5 D4), which is at least four more than any other team in the league (Nantes and Montpellier each have 13).
• Le Havre is currently on a six-game losing streak in Ligue 1, marking the longest active streak among the big-five European leagues. Their last four defeats have been without scoring a single goal. The last team to go five games without scoring in Ligue 1 was Ajaccio in April/May 2023 (6 games), while the last team to lose all five games without scoring was Toulouse in February 2020.
• Montpellier has conceded 29 goals this season in Ligue 1, at least four more than any other team in the top five European leagues.
• Le Havre has also lost their last two home games in Ligue 1 by margins of three or more goals (0-3 against Lille, 0-4 against Lyon), the first time this has happened in their top-flight history.

Closing:

With so many teams closely matched, these games will surely impact the league’s trajectory and set the tone for the weeks to come. Fans can expect exhilarating performances, shocking upsets, and new stars rising to the occasion. No matter which team you support, Matchday 10 is sure to deliver drama and action that remind us why Ligue 1 is a league like no other. Stay tuned for the results and see which predictions hold true as the season progresses.