Ligue 1 Matchday 9 Predictions

As we step into Matchday 9 of Ligue 1, the French football league continues to bring thrilling performances and unpredictable results. Each week, top teams like Paris Saint-Germain, Marseille, and Lyon face the challenge of maintaining momentum in a league known for its fierce competitiveness. This upcoming set of matches holds even more intrigue, with teams vying to either climb higher in the standings or solidify their positions against some intense competition. Let’s dive into some predictions and key highlights to watch for as Matchday 9 unfolds.

Rennes VS Le Havre

Win Probability

• Rennes: 65%
• Le Havre: 14%
• Draw: 21%

Prediction: Rennes 2-1 Le Havre

Game Time: Tomorrow, 11:45 AM

Pre-Match Insights

• The record between Rennes and Le Havre in Ligue 1 is balanced with12 wins for each side and 16 draws in their 40 games.
• Rennes are unbeaten in their last nine home games against Le Havre inLigue 1 (W3 D6), since a 2-0 defeat in December 1991. However, thethree most recent ones ended in a draw.
• Rennes have not won any of their last four games in Ligue 1 (D2 L2),their longest winless run since October-November 2023 (5) at the end ofwhich Bruno Génésio was replaced by Julien Stéphan.
• Le Havre have lost their last five games in Ligue 1; only WolverhamptonWanderers are on as long a losing streak among the current teams ofthe Top 5 European Leagues.

• Rennes scored in each of their 14 home games in Ligue 1 since thereturn of Julien Stéphan as manager (28 goals), the third longest currentstreak behind Lille (29) and Paris (20).

Angers VS St-Etienne

Win Probability

• Angers: 39%
• St-Etienn: 32%
• Draw: 29%

Prediction: Angers 1-1 St-Etienne

Game Time: Sat, Oct 26, 8:00 AM

Pre-Match Insights

• Angers have an 18%-win rate against St Etienne in their history in allcompetitions (12/67-D22 L33), only recording a lower percentageagainst Paris SG (9%) among current Ligue 1 clubs.
• Angers have won only one of their last 13 home games against StEtienne in all competitions (D5 L7), winning in September 2019 in Ligue1 (4-1).
• The only team without a win in Ligue 1 in 2024-25 (D4 L4),Angersremain without a win after eight games of a season in the top-flight forthe fourth time after 1959-60,1963-64 and 1965-66. The Sco avoidedrelegation during these three seasons, winning in their ninth game intwo of those seasons.
• St Etienne have only seven points after eight games in Ligue 1 in 2024.25, their second lowest tally at this stage in the 21st century behind2021-22 (3-18th and relegated at the end of the season). The Greensalso had seven points in 2004-05 but finished sixth (qualified for theIntertoto cup).
• Angers have already lost more home games in 2024-25 (3-D1) than inthe whole of the 2023-24 season (W13 D4 L2-including one against SiEtienne).

Reims VS Brest

Win Probability

• Reims: 43%
• Brest: 30%
• Draw: 27%

Prediction: Reims 2-0 Brest

Game Time: Sat, Oct 26, 10:00 AM

Pre-Match Insights

• Reims have not won any of their last six Ligue 1 games against Brest(D5 L1), after winning three of their first six against the Bretons in thetop-flight (D1 L2).
• With ten points in eight games, Brest have achieved their secondhighest tally at this stage of a Ligue 1 season since their return to thetop-flight in 2019, behind the 2023/24 season (15-finished 3rd).
• Reims have won four of their last six home games in Ligue 1 (D1 L1)which is as many as in the previous 12 (D3 L5).
• Brest have lost their three away games in Ligue 1 this season for thefirst time since February-April 2021 (3). Since their return to the top.flight in 2019, they have only lost four in a row once, in November-December 2019.
• Reims have scored five headed goals in Ligue 1 this season, thehighest tally. On the other hand, Brest rank second for headed shots inLigue 1 this season (21 attempts, 13 for Reims), but have only scoredonce that way.

Lens VS LOSC

Win Probability

• Lens: 41%
• LOSC: 31%
• Draw: 28%

Prediction: Lens 1-1 LOSC

Game Time: Sat, Oct 26, 12:00 PM

Pre-Match Insights

• This will be the 99th derby of the North between Lens and Lille in Ligue1 (28 wins for Lens against 37 for Lille, 33 draws). RCL have lost 12 oftheir last 21 games in the top-flight against Losc (W3 D6), after losingonly one of their first eight in the 21st century (w3 D4).
• Lens only has a 20% home win record against Lille in the 21st centuryin Ligue 1 (3/15-D8 L4), their lowest percentage among the teamsthey’ve faced at least twice over this period. However, RCL areunbeaten in their last three home games against Losc in the top-flight(W1 D2).
• Lille failed to score in their last Ligue 1 match (0-0 v Monaco) but havenot failed to score in two consecutive games in Ligue 1 since May 2023when they had a goalless draw in Monaco after a defeat at a teammanaged by Will Still (0-1 in Reims)
• Lens have kept five clean sheets in their last six home games in Ligue1, which is as many as in the previous 17. They have, however, notscored in the two most recent ones, but have never experienced alonger drought since their return to L1 in 2020.
• This is the first time that Lens and Lille (14 points after 8 matches) areequal on points when they’ve faced each other in Ligue 1 sinceSeptember 2010 (4 points each after 4 games played). To find such a tieat a later stage of the season, you have to go back to March 2008 (both33 points after 27 games).

Lyon VS Auxerre

Win Probability

• Lyon: 65%
• Auxerre: 16%
• Draw: 19%

Prediction: Lyon 3-1 Auxerre

Game Time: Sun, Oct 27, 7:00 AM

Pre-Match Insights

• Lyon lost their last Ligue 1 game against Auxerre (1-2 at the Abbé-Deschamps in February 2023) and could lose two games in a row in L1against the Burgundians for the first time since September 1995-October 1996 (3).
• Lyon are unbeaten in their last 20 home games against a promoted sidein the League (W15 D5), since a defeat against Angers on December 5,2015 (0-2).
• Lyon have won their last three games in Ligue 1, the longest currentstreak in the division. OL had won only one of the first five this season(D1 L3).
• Prior to this season, Auxerre had not won at least three games aftereight Ligue 1 matches since the 2009-10 season (3 also – 3rd at theend of the season)
• Lyon are the only team to have scored and conceded at least 20 goalsat home in Ligue 1 this year (22 for, 21 against in 12 games).

Nice VS Monaco

Win Probability

• Nice: 31%
• Monaco: 42%
• Draw: 27%

Prediction: Nice 1-2 Monaco

Game Time: Sun, Oct 27, 9:00 AM

Pre-Match Insights

• Nice have won two of their last three derbies against Monaco in Ligue ?(L1), as many as in their previous 10 (D3 L5). These two successes didtake place at the Louis-ll, however.
• Monaco are the team that Nice have lost most often against at home inLigue 1 (21).0GCN are also on a 4-game winless run against theMonegasques at home in Ligue 1 (D1 L3).
• Monaco have not lost any of their first eight games in Ligue 1 2024-25(W6 D2); the third time that ASM have been unbeaten at this stage,after 1979-80 (4th at the end of the season) and 2013-14 (2nd).
• Nice have only failed to score once in their last 16 home games in Ligue1 (28 goals scored): against Clermont in February 2024 (0-0)
• Nice are the team that have attempted the fewest shots in their homegames in Ligue 1 this season (38), but they have converted 26% ofthem into goals (10 scored); the highest such percentage.

Montpellier VS Toulouse

Win Probability

• Montpellier: 31%
• Toulouse: 43%
• Draw: 26%

Prediction:Montpellier 1-3 Toulouse

Game Time: Sun, Oct 27, 9:00 AM

Pre-Match Insights

• Montpellier have a 52%-win rate against Toulouse in Ligue 1 since theirreturn to the top-flight in 2009-10 (13/25-D5 L7), their highestpercentage against a current L1 team. TFC are also the only currenttop-flight side against which the Héraultais won home and away againstin 2023-24 (3-0 at La Mosson, 2-1 at the Stadium).
• Montpellier have conceded 26 goals after eight games in Ligue 1 2024-25, the highest tally for a team at this stage since Rennes in 1969-70(28- 14th at the end of the season). The last team to have reached the30-goal mark before even playing their tenth L1 game was Metz in1949-50(32).
• Toulouse have won only six points after eight Ligue 1 games thisseason, their lowest tally at this stage of a season in the top-flight since2003-04(5-finished 16th overall).
• Montpellier are coming off the heaviest defeat in a professional homematch in their history (0-5 against Marseille), but have not lost two homegames in a row in Ligue 1 since January-February 2023 (3 – just beforethe start of Michel Der Zakarian’s second term).
• Toulouse lost each of their last two away games in Ligue 1, after losingonly once in their first nine L1 away matches in 2024 (W7 D1).

Strasbourg VS Nantes

Win Probability

• Strasbourg: 51%
• Nantes: 23%
• Draw: 26%

Prediction: Strasbourg 2-1 Nantes

Game Time: Sun, Oct 27, 9:00 AM

Pre-Match Insights

• Strasbourg won three of their last five matches against Nantes in Ligue1 (D1 L1), as many as in their previous 13 (D2 L8)
• Strasbourg have suffered 15 home defeats against Nantes in Ligue 1(W17 D10), while only losing more on home soil in the top-flight againstLyon (18).
• Strasbourg have scored 16 goals after eight games in Ligue 1 2024-25their highest tally at this stage since 1977-78 (17, 3rd at the end of theseason).RCSA have conceded the same number of goals, however,equalling their worst record after eight games since their return in 2017(16 also in 2020-21-15th in the end).
• Nantes have won only two of their last 13 Ligue 1 games (D6 L5)against Auxerre (2-0)and Montpellier (3-1) in August.
• Strasbourg have lost only one of their last eight home games in Ligue 1(W5 D2), after losing the first four this year.

Marseille VS PSG

Win Probability

• Marseille: 27%
• PSG: 49%
• Draw: 24%

Prediction: Marseille 1-3 PSG

Game Time: Sun, Oct 27, 12:45 PM

Pre-Match Insights

• Marseille and Paris will face each other for the 108th time in allcompetitions (34 Marseille wins for 50 Parisians, 23 draws) and the 90thtime in Ligue 1.PSG are the team against which the Olympians havelost the most times in their history.
• Marseille have lost 13 of their 44 home games against Paris SG inLigue 1 (W22 D9), including 8 times in the last 10 (D2).
  OM have notsuffered more home defeats in the top-flight against any other opponent(also 13 against Lyon).
• Marseille have gone four games in a row without scoring against ParisSG in Ligue 1, and could equal their longest streak against the sameopponent in the competition: 5 v Bordeaux between March 2000 andDecember 2001 and 5 v Lile between October 2000 and October 2002
• Marseille have scored 21 goals after eight games in Ligue 1 2024-25their joint-highest tally at this stage of a season in the last 75 years (21in 1954-55,1970-71 and 2014-15).
• The 22 players who have appeared for Paris in Ligue 1 this seasonhave all started at least once. On the other hand, none of them havestarted every game across the last two seasons.

Ligue 1 standings:

Conclusion:

With Ligue 1’s unpredictability, Matchday 9 is bound to offer surprises, upsets, and plenty of spectacular goals. As teams continue their journey through this intense season, fans will be watching closely to see who emerges on top and which players make a decisive impact. Whether it’s title hopefuls solidifying their positions or underdogs challenging the status quo, Matchday 9 promises football action at its finest in France.