Serie A Matchday 9 Prediction

As we dive into Matchday 9 of Serie A, the excitement in the Italian top flight is palpable. With teams competing fiercely for top positions, each match carries significant weight in the battle for the Scudetto. This weekend promises thrilling encounters as traditional powerhouses clash with emerging contenders. Fans will be on the edge of their seats, eager to see if their favorite clubs can secure crucial points and maintain momentum as the season unfolds.

Serie a standings 2024-2025 Matchday 9

Udinese VS Cagliari Today 9:30 AM

Prediction: 2-1

Win Probability

• Udinese: 43%
• Cagliari: 28%
• Draw: 29%

Pre-Match Insights:

• Udinese has won 27 of the 56 matches played against Cagliari in Serie A (D17, L12)- against no other team have the Friulians won more in the top flight, equal with Atalanta and Lazio.
• Udinese have lost just one of their last 10 matches against Cagliari in Serie A (W6, D3), with the Sardinian’s only success in the period coming in April 2021 in Friuli (1-0).
• Udinese and Cagliari drew both matches last season and only once they have recorded three draws in a row in Serie A: between 1982 and 1983
• Udinese have won three of their four home league games this season(L1)-they have not achieved four wins in the first five home games of the season in Serie A since 2014/15, with Andrea Stramaccioni as manager.
• Cagliari are unbeaten in their last three Serie A matches (W2, D1), after defeats in a row without scoring, after the success in the last round (3-2 vs Torino), the Sardinians could achieve two victories in a row in Serie A for only the second time this calendar year (the previous one in March, 1-0 vs Empoli and 4-2 vs Salernitana)

Torino VS Como Today 11.45 AM

Prediction: 1-1

Win Probability

• Torino: 36%
• Como: 33%
• Draw: 31%

Pre-Match Insights:

• Como has drawn nine of their 26 matches against Torino in Serie A(W4, L13), only against Juventus (10) they have recorded more draws in the top flight.
• Torino and Como return to face each other in Serie A 21 years and 154 days since the last time (24 May 2003): 1-0 victory for the Lombards atSinigaglia. The Lariani could achieve two successes in a row against the Granata for only the second time in Serie A, after 1951.
• Torino has lost just one of their 13 home matches against Como in Serie A (W7, D5), the only success of the Como team away against the Granata in the tournament dates back to 6 April 1986 (3-1).
• Torino is coming off three consecutive defeats in Serie A (vs LazioInter and Cagliari) and under the guidance of a single coach they have not managed four defeats in a row in the league since between February and March 2018, under the management of Walter Mazzarri.
• Como have drawn the last championship match (1-1 against Parma and have not recorded two draws in a row in Serie A since February 2003 (against Empoli and Parma in that case).

Napoli VS Lecce Tomorow 6:00 AM

Prediction: 3-0

Win Probability

• Napoli: 76%
• Lecce: 8%
• Draw: 16%

Pre-Match Insights:

• Napoli are unbeaten in their last four league games against Lecce (W2D2) and have not conceded a goal in their two most recent meetings, the Partenopei have never kept three clean sheets in a row against theGiallorossi in Serie A.
• Lecce is unbeaten in their last three away games against Napoli in the league (W1 D2) and only against Fiorentina (4 between 2009 and 2019)and Brescia (5 between 2000 and 2011) have the Giallorossi avoided defeat in more consecutive away games against a single opponent in Serie A.
• Napoli has won 19 points after eight games in Serie A this season (W6D1 L1) and only three times in the three points for a win era have they won more at this stage of a top-flight campaign: 2017/18 and 2021/22(24 pts) and in 2022/23 (20 pts).
• Napoli has kept a clean sheet in four of their last five Serie A games(W4 D1), with an aggregate score of 10-1 in those matches, since the beginning of September, the Partenopei have conceded just one goal in Serie A (level with Juventus) with only Leipzig (0) conceding fewer in the big five European leagues in that period.
• Lecce is the team that has scored the fewest goals in the big five European leagues in 2024/25 (2) whilst with 18 goals conceded -third of which came last time out against Fiorentina- only Montpellier(-18) have a worse goal difference than the Giallorossi(-15).

Bologna VS Milan Tomorrow 9:00 AMM

Prediction: 1-2

Win Probability

• Bologna: 28%
• Milan: 45%
• Draw: 27%

Pre-Match Insights:

• AC Milan is unbeaten in their last 17 Serie A games against Bologna(W13 D4), since a 1-0 loss in January 2016 at the San Siro; that is AC’slongest active unbeaten streak against any current top-fight opponent. Overall only against three teams do they have a longer active streak without losing in the competition (SPAL-26, Catania – 26, and Chievo -25).
• Bologna avoided defeat in their most recent Serie A match against AC Milan (2-2 in January) but have not avoided defeat in back-to-back matches against the Rossoneri in the competition since doing so between 2011 and 2012 (two draws in a row under Stefano Pioli)
• Bologna has not won any of their last 18 home Serie A games against AC Milan (D5 L13), with their last such success coming at Dall’AraStadium in March 2002 (2-0); only against Juventus (21) have theRossoblù recorded a longer winless streak at home without winning in the Italian top-flight.
• Following their 2-2 draw last time out against Genoa, Bologna have now drawn six of their opening eight Serie A games for just the second time in their history, also doing so in 1989/90. However, they have never recorded seven draws in their first nine games of an Italian top-flight campaign.
• AC Milan have won only one of their first four away games (D1 L2) in Serie A this season; the last time the Rossoneri only won one of their first five away league games in a campaign was in 2018/19

Atalanta VS Verona Tomorow 11:45 AM

Prediction: 3-1

Win Probability

• Atalanta: 69%
• Verona: 13%
• Draw: 18%

Pre-Match Insights:

• Atalanta is unbeaten in their last four Serie A games against Hellas Verona (W3 D1) and has not gone five consecutive matches without losing against the Gialloblu in the top flight since between 1989 and 2000 (seven).
• After a 2-2 draw in their most recent meeting on 15 April, Atalanta and Hellas Verona could draw two games in a row in Serie A for the first time between 1990 and 1992.
• Hellas Verona has won two of their last four away games against Atlanta in Serie A (D1 L1), as many wins as in all of their previous 20 on the road against the Bergamaschi in the competition (D7 L11).
• Atalanta have drawn just one of their last 19 home Serie A games (W13L5), against Hellas Verona on 15 April (2-2).
• Hellas Verona (W3 L5 in 2024/25 campaign) has failed to draw any of their first eight Serie A games of a season for only the third time, after 1975/76 and 1991/92. They could also draw none of their opening nine games of a campaign for the first time in the top flight.

Parma VS Empoli Sun, Oct 27 4.30 AM

Prediction: 2-0

Win Probability

• Parma: 44%
• Empoli: 28%
• Draw: 28%

Pre-Match Insights:

• In the last six matches between Parma and Empoli in Serie A, the same result has never been repeated twice in a row: two wins for the Gialloblùagainst just one for the Tuscans, as well as three draws, including the one in the last clash in the competition (3-3, 2 March 2019).
• Parma have never drawn in nine home games played against Empoli in Serie A: eight wins and only one defeat, for an overall score of 15-3
• Empoli have not won any of their last seven Serie A games (D4 L3)against newly promoted opponents, remaining without a goal in the most recent four (three of these ended 0-0)
• Parma have drawn three of their last four Serie A games (L1), including two most recent, the last time the Gialloblù had three consecutive draws in the competition dates to December 2020
• Empoli, who are close to collecting 600 points in their Serie A history(currently 598), have lost their last two league games after remaining unbeaten in the previous eight (W3 D5). The last time the Recorded more consecutive defeats in the competition was last April (four in that case)

Lazio VS Genoa Sun, Oct 27 7:00 AM

Prediction: 2-0

Win Probability

• Lazio: 63%
• Genoa: 15%
• Draw: 22%

Pre-Match Insights:

• Lazio has won four of their last five Serie A games (D1) against Genoa in Serie A, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per game; on the opposite side, after the 0-1 defeat in their last match, the Grifone could fail to find the net in two games in a row against the Biancocelesti for the first time since 2016 in the competition.
• In the last 14 games between Lazio and Genoa in Serie A, only three times have one of the two sides failed to find the net, although two of these matches date back to last season: in both cases, two 1-0 away victories.
• After winning their last away Serie A match against Lazio (0-1, on 27th August 2023), Genoa could beat the Biancocelesti at home in at least two games in a row for only the second time in the top-flight, after the series of four consecutive away wins between 2011 and 2015.
• Among the sides currently in Serie A, only Juventus are unbeaten in more home games (12) than Lazio in the competition: nine (W7, D2); theBiancocelesti’s last home defeat dates back to 11 March, against Udinese (1-2). On the other side, Genoa have lost three of their last four away games (W1) in Serie A, after having remained unbeaten in nine of their previous 10 (W3 D6).
• This is only the third time in the three points for a-win era that Genoa has conceded at least 17 goals after their first eight seasonal games in the Serie A campaign, after 2019/20 (20) and 2021/22 (18); furthermore, the Rossoblu could concede at least two goals in five top-flight games in a row for the first time since September 2021 (six in that case)

Monza VS Venezia Sun, Oct 27 7:00 AMM

Prediction: 2-1

Win Probability

• Monza: 44%
• Venezia: 27%
• Draw: 29%

Pre-Match Insights:

• In each of the last two seasons in which Monza and Venezia have met(Serie C 2014/15 and Serie B 2020/21), the team from Brianza won the first leg and the Venetians won the second leg; however, these successes have all come away from home.
• Venezia have won the last two championship away games against, between Serie C and Serie B, with an aggregate score of 6-2
• Monza has won four of their last five Serie A matches (1L) against newly promoted teams, after having achieved just one success in each of their first five matches (D3, L1)against these opponents in the competition.
• Venezia have lost five of their last six championship games (W1); however, the “arancioneroverdi” are unbeaten in four (W2, D2) of the last five Serie A matches played when the bottom of the table at the start of the day, only losing in the most recent match, against Atalanta (0-2).
• With their 3-0 success against Hellas Verona, Monza have won a Serie A match after a run of 16 league matches without success, the last time the Brianza team recorded two victories in a row in the competition was last March (against Genoa and Cagliari).

Inter VS Juventus Sun, Oct 27 10:00 AM

Prediction: 2-1

Win Probability

• Inter: 54%
• Juventus: 19%
• Draw: 27%

Pre-Match Insights:

• Inter have suffered their most Serie A defeats against Juventus (87)13% of the total matches lost by the Nerazzurri in the competition. However, the Bianconeri have enjoyed only two wins in the last six league games against the Nerazzurri(D2 L2)
• Juventus are unbeaten in six of the last seven Serie A matches played against Inter when they have faced each other while being in the top three positions at the start of a matchday (W3 D3), but lost the most recent of these; a 0-1 defeat in February.
• Inter have won two of their last four Serie A matches (D1 L1) against Juventus at San Siro, as many wins as in their previous 11 home league matches against the Bianconeri(D4 L5)
• Juventus are the only unbeaten team (W4 D4) after the opening eight games of a Serie A season for the first time since 2019-20. Meanwhile. Inter have won five of their last seven leaque matches (D1 L1), after failing to win four of their previous five (D3 L1).
• Inter have lost just one of their last 19 home games in Serie A (W14 D4)losing to Milan in September (1-2), while Juventus have won two of their last three away league games (D1), after failing to win in each of their previous eight (D5 L3). Furthermore, the Bianconeri are the only side in the big five European leagues this season yet to concede a goal away from home.

Fiorentina VS Roma Sun, Oct 27, 12:45 PM

Prediction: 1-1

Win Probability

• Fiorentina: 38%
• Roma: 34%
• Draw: 28%

Pre-Match Insights:

Fiorentina have won just two of their last 12 Serie A games against Roma (D4 L6), although the most recent two ended in draws. Indeed, the villa could record three draws in a row against the Giallorossi in the competition for the first time since 1977 (run of four).

Roma has not won any of their last three away games against Fiorentina in Serie A (D1 L2), after having recorded three wins in the previous four (D1). Indeed, the last time the Giallorossi kept a clean sheet away from home against the Viola in the league dates back to April 2014 (1-0), since then they have conceded at least one goal in 10 consecutive away games.

Fiorentina has lost on each of the last four occasions in which they have faced Roma with more points in the table at the start of the matchday in Serie A (+3 in 2024-25); the most recent of these was in October 2015 (1-2).

After starting this season with three draws and one defeat, Fiorentina have won three of their last four games (D1) in Serie A, including the two most recent. Raffaele Palladino’s side could record three successive wins in the competition for the first time since last December.

Roma has earned 10 points (W2 D4 L2) in Serie A this season; it’s the lowest haul for the Giallorossi after the first eight games of the season since 2010-11 (9). Indeed, the only time in which they have recorded a maximum of two wins in the first nine games in a Serie A season in the three points for a win era dates back to 2008-09 (2), when they finished the season in sixth place.

Conclusion

Matchday 9 is set to deliver drama and excitement across the league. As teams strive for glory and fans rally behind their clubs, every point gained will be vital in the relentless pursuit of success. Keep an eye on the key matchups and player performances, as they could very well shape the narrative of the season moving forward. Let the games begin!